Re: What are your predictions for........

First... the media needs scapegoats. It can get worse and it can get better. But there will always be some scapegoat even after it's no longer us.

As for predictions:

From here to 2012-2015:

USA:
Child modelling will be illegal in the USA within the next presidency.
Before the end of 2010 someone will be acquitted after killing someone who is known to be an MAA, regardless of established guilt.

EU:
Pan-EU public sex offender registry before 2015.
KP laws elevated to pan-EU level.

Canada:
AOP raised again to 18 and close-in-age exceptions diminished in force and scope within the next government.

From here to 2020:

All of the above + Australia (ie, Anglosphere+EU):
AOC raises, eventually to 21.
KP laws mostly harmonised to penalise all written, computer generated and drawn kp (US constitutional amendment is going to be needed), as well as to ban child modelling.
Paed advocacy will be included in all laws, most of them post-911, designed to curtail "terrorist" speech.

The US State Dept. and the Foreign Policy area of the EU will not just produce reports as they already, but will likely introduce sanctions or further action against countries seen as lenient. NATO will introduce anti-paed clauses in its charter, which would enable it to self-adopt a mandate to go to war against us.

All of the above countries, if they aren't already doing so, will claim universal jurisdiction for kp, aoc and paed advocacy.

All of the above countries will force their ISPs to listen in on their users internet traffic and report them for the above offences. Canada already does, but so far it's only voluntary from the ISPs.

By 2020 any paed traffic in or originating from the West will be either cops, vigilantes, or organised crime. Organised crime will NOT stop finding ways to smuggle the materials into the Western realms, though.

Conversely...

All the most aware paeds will take refuge in other lands, and probably establish smuggling networks to take people there; not unlikely in alliance with organised crime.

Since international pressures will be building up elsewhere to tackle the paed threat, some conflicting patterns will emerge, some of them even present in a country simultaneously:

1- some countries will give up to the West, stupidly trying to score points (probably all the smaller LatAm countries and many in Africa)
2- some countries will resist, but be small enough to be invaded (probably some LatAm or Eastern European country)
3- some countries will resist, but be too big to invade, or too close to someone who is (Brazil, Japan, Russia)
4- some countries will face internal disturbance between pro and anti camps, and will likely choose whatever seems to grant most short-to-medium term stability (Pakistan and Saudi Arabia seem likely to be here)
5- many countries, in all of these cases, also seem likely to de facto tolerate and even shelter paed resistance and / or friendly organised crime networks.

By 2020, any and all paed advocacy and paed traffic that is safe and guaranteed to be from actual paeds, will come from countries in categories 3, 4, and 5 of the above list.

From 2015 on, we should expect paed issues to be high on the UN agenda and become some of the most problematic - which we shouldn't mind much, as the UN doesn't count for much, but does show what the international environment is, at least.

From 2020, Anglosphere+EU will institute camps for paeds and will likely also intern the underage "victims". The camps will be for life; "voluntary" experimentation on interns will happen; partly to try to device tests that could be accurate since before birth. If such a test is ever deviced, abortion will be compulsory. However, other than that, death penalty is not likely to be imposed on interns, not even in the USA.

This world will be at an equilibrium for decades. Short of extreme natural or semi-natural catastrophes, only three things will break the equilibrium:

- an actual world war, of a result unpredictable today
- organised crime sponsored instability or coups in Anglosphere+EU; which I can see happening for the first time in the 2020s, but still to see when the first successful one is, and when the first surviving one...
- due to the pressures of any combination of the following: general technological change, economic structure change, changes in energy supply chains or in energy generation technologies, and demographic shifts, Anglosphere+EU dramatically lag behind others... careful with the US deficits, especially...

If the equilibrium is not so broken, I don't see our lot improving before 2250 or so...