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Still need to be careful

Posted by Gimwinkle on Saturday, March 28 2020 at 08:31:10AM
In reply to for fuck sake posted by Sobakevich on Saturday, March 28 2020 at 06:34:19AM

The World Health Organization estimates that worldwide, annual influenza epidemics result in about 3-5 million cases of severe illness and about 250,000 to 500,000 deaths.

https://www.medscape.com/answers/219557-3459/what-is-the-global-incidence-of-influenza

You need to be very, very careful about who is talking. Pay particular attention to his mathematics:

Influenza's mortality rate is "zero point one" percent. That's a tenth of a percent. Of course, this disagees witht he World Health Organization who sees the world's influenza rates.

Covid 19's mortality rate is "ten times that". That would make it... grab your calculators... one percent.

I think, as a mathematician, I would point to the word "severe" illnesses and say that the two values in comparison are not equivalent. Apples and Oranges argument. To cut to the chase, do we compare "all" covid 19 illnesses or just severe ones? Do we compare "all" influenza illnesses or just severe ones.

What you are seeing is the typical selective squishing of valid data (which both are) to make things say what you want them to say.

1,000 ft/s sounds so much faster than 600 nautical miles per hour when actually, its slightly slower (592 nmi/hr).



Gimwinkle





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